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Wales stun New Zealand as Sam Warburton admits he expected defeat

Wales stunned New Zealand 35-28 in Cardiff, ending a 73-year wait for victory as Sam Warburton admitted he expected the All Blacks to win.

Wales delivered one of the most remarkable results in recent rugby history on 14 November 2026, defeating New Zealand 35-28 in Cardiff. Even former Wales captain Sam Warburton admitted before kick-off that he believed Steve Tandy’s side had no chance against the All Blacks.

The result was Wales’ first victory over New Zealand since 1953 and a major statement in the Nations Championship. It also gave fresh meaning to the recent improvement of a team that had endured an 18-match losing streak and fallen as low as 12th in the world rankings.

Wales produce historic win over New Zealand

New Zealand arrived in Cardiff in excellent form and were widely expected to control the match. Wales, however, played with attacking ambition and intensity from the opening whistle.

The hosts raced into a 21-7 lead midway through the first half, with their forwards proving particularly effective at the set piece and driving maul. The All Blacks fought back to level the contest before half-time, but Wales responded immediately after the interval.

Two further tries restored a 14-point advantage and placed New Zealand under sustained pressure. The visitors launched a powerful attack during the final half-hour and scored once more, but Wales repeatedly refused to yield.

  • Wales led 21-7 during a dominant first-half spell.
  • New Zealand drew level before the break.
  • Wales regained a 14-point lead after half-time.
  • The hosts held up New Zealand over the line on three occasions.
  • The final score was Wales 35, New Zealand 28.

That defensive resilience ultimately secured a famous victory and transformed the atmosphere inside Cardiff. The performance was especially significant given the difficult period Wales have experienced in recent seasons.

Sam Warburton admits he expected Wales to lose

Speaking on ITV after the match, Warburton said he had not believed Wales would overcome New Zealand. The former international praised the supporters who attended despite the team’s recent struggles and described the defensive performance as one of the most heroic he had seen from a Welsh side.

Warburton also placed the result in context. Wales had gone from Grand Slam success several years earlier to a prolonged losing run and a historic low point in the rankings. Their progress in 2026, including a first Six Nations victory in three years, had suggested recovery was possible, but few expected such a dramatic breakthrough against the All Blacks.

His reaction reflected the scale of the achievement: this was not simply an upset against a strong opponent, but the culmination of a difficult rebuilding process.

New Zealand media prediction backfires

Warburton was not alone in underestimating Wales. Pre-match coverage in New Zealand was highly dismissive of the hosts, with the New Zealand Herald portraying them as one of the weaker teams in the northern hemisphere.

The newspaper compared Wales to “the Dickensian orphan” of international rugby, arguing that other nations, including Ireland and Scotland, had improved significantly while Wales had fallen behind. That assessment looked particularly uncomfortable after Wales controlled large sections of the match and defended their lead under intense pressure.

New Zealand did make changes to their team, and the visitors will be disappointed by their execution in Cardiff. Nevertheless, Wales’ effort could not be explained away by selection alone. Their attacking start, forward power and second-half defence were central to the result.

What the result means for the Nations Championship

The defeat could also have wider consequences in the Nations Championship. New Zealand had appeared well placed to reach the final after South Africa’s loss in France, but the Cardiff result has made the race less predictable.

For Wales, the immediate priority will be to build on this performance rather than treat it as an isolated upset. The team has shown that it can compete with the world’s leading nations, but consistency will determine whether this marks a genuine turning point.

The victory is already a defining moment in Wales rugby. It ended a 73-year wait for a win over New Zealand, rewarded supporters who stood by the team during its lowest period and provided one of the standout stories in ireland rugby and international rugby coverage.

Wales’ win gives supporters a reason to believe

Wales were expected to struggle, including by one of their most celebrated former players. Instead, they produced a fearless attacking display and showed remarkable discipline when New Zealand mounted its late challenge.

For Irish rugby followers tracking the Nations Championship, the result adds further intrigue to the competition. For Wales, it offers something more important: tangible evidence that the long climb back has begun. The lesson from Cardiff is clear—form matters, but resilience can overturn even the most confident prediction.

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